Who am I?
I am a 30-something Information Scientist living in Durham and working at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Monty Hall Problem Demonstration
The following snippets represent instances of a mock round of a game like "Let's make a deal." You can reload this page again and again to re-run the script with new random outcomes. Note at the bottom of the page each time that the numbers tend to hover around a 6/4 or 7/3 split in favor of winning if you switch.
Skeptical programmer? Click here to examine the PHP code.
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 1
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 2
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 3
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 2
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 2
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 1
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 2
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 2
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 1
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 2
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 2
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 2
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 2
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 2
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 2
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 2
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 3
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 2
First Choice: 3
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 1
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 2
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 3
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 2
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 1
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Winner: 2
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 1
Winner: 3
First Choice: 2
Reveal Goat: 1
Second Choice: 3
Winner: 2
First Choice: 1
Reveal Goat: 3
Second Choice: 2
Win: 58
Lose: 42